02/11/2002 I should have known better than to give last week's Oscar predictions too soon. Things have been moving in the final stretch. What follows are my final Oscar nominee predictions... Here's what the leader board looks like - only films with two or more predicted nominations are listed:
The top five all appear to have locks for nominations.
The top four are locks. Scott is, as well, though Nolan and Lynch are very unlikely spoilers.
Crowe, Washington and Wilkinson are locks. Hackman and Smith, whose chances are quickly increasing in the final stretch, and Penn are tied for the final two slots. Penn can easily bump either of the other two out of a nom slot. Kline's a much less likely spoiler..
Spacek and Berry are locks. Dench is virtually locked, as well. Zellweger and Kidman (for Rouge) are tied and should get the final two nods.
Memento and Gosford are sure things. The Man and Tenenbaums appear to have pulled out enough of a lead for a locked nomination. Monster's Ball currently has the best shot at the final spot. Mullholland and Moulin may spoil.
Mind, Bedroom and Rings have solid noms. Ghost and Shrek seem pretty sure with Diary and Black Hawk in the wings.
Kingsley and Broadbent will be nominated. McKellen and Voight should be, as well. Christensen and Buscemi fight it out for the final slot.
This race is pretty well determined as the top five are very far ahead of the spoiler pack.
Less likely spoilers include: Mulholland Drive, Ali, and The Shipping News.
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